NFL Week 1 Moneyline Pick

Miami - Fins newly acquire QB Chad Pennington has always been known as a smart player… and I love to bet on a team when they have a chance to pick apart the opponents scheme.  Consider that in this instance the QB will be picking apart the secondary he had been practicing against just 2 months ago.  He knows the tendencies and weakness of every player on that defense.  This shapes up to be a lower scoring affair, and may come down to who has the ball last. The line is NY by a FG, but I like the edge the Fish have in former Jets QB Pennington, and he does have a decent supporting cast in the form of a power running attack and downfield targets.  I’d lay 4% of bankroll straight up on the ML, or a 2% two-teamer. 

Kurt