Week 2 Football Betting Picks
COLLEGE PICKS:
TEXAS: Big Al says Arkansas is terrible and Texas easily pounds them by 5 TDs this week. A+ pick of the week at 4-5% of bankroll.
USC: We usually don’t like big network games as wagering picks, but in this one USC just has too much explosiveness going for them over Ohio State. Al says the Trojans should roll to a 3 score victory margin.
SJSU: Yep, we went against them last week and Al hit an A rated play with Nebraska because it was a bad match-up for the Spartans. In this situation San Jose State benefits with a very strong match-up advantage over San Diego State. Spartans are exposive and quick and the Aztecs will have difficult time keeping them out of the endzone. We’re getting some line value because of last weeks results, we’re hitting SJSU with a 4% of bankroll pick and will call on them to win by double digits.
College “also likes”: These are plays we analyzed and kicked around in the discussion - I like these picks on a low exposure two-team parlay (Oregon with Iowa State(+) at 1.5% of bankroll).
NFL PICKS:
ARIZONA: Our official pick to win the NFC west is now Arizona (with Kurt Warner at QB). These team is the real deal. They are committed to the run and Whisenhunt has Warner is working on being a game manager rather than a gunslinger. The offensive and defensive lines are vastly superior to Miami’s, and that’s where this contest will be dominated by the Cardinals, who will win this one by double digits. Our strongest NFL game of the week.
TAMPA BAY: We made a very bad call with Detroit as our top ranked NFL pick last week, vastly over rating what we thought would be an improved run defense. Atlanta will NOT be able to run on Tampa like they did on the Lions. We’re a little concerned with Garcia on the bench, but still like the Bucs to post 17-24 points. We don’t see Atlanta putting up more than 17 and more likely 10-14 points. They won’t score over the top on this defense. We’re hitting the Bucs with a 3% of bankroll B-rated pick.
BUFFALO(+): Jacksonville has been impacted harder by injuries than any team in the league for this weeks game. It looks like they’ll be without their 3 starting interior lineman. The Jags are a power run oriented team and their facing what appears to be a vastly improved Buffalo run defense. Consider former Jags DT Marcus Stroud is now on the other side of the line and we have a situation that nicely favors the road team getting points. We think this one will be decided by a FG either way, and won’t be surprised if the Bills pull off the outright upset.
NFL “also likes”: The scorecasting models don’t support it but my gut really likes Detroit on the ML (+140) this week. Fundamentally Green Bay is the better team, however there are several situations here pointing to Detroit making this a competitive contest. We also like Philadelphia on Monday night to be competitive with Dallas, if the Eagles don’t get run over this one should be close. A low exposure two teamer at 1.5% of bankroll Detroit(ML) and Philadelphia(+) is a sharp play.
Good luck and play sharp. Please read our money management strategy linked from the home page to fully understand our recommended betting strategies.
Kurt - Football Forecasters