Week twelve the straight up picks went a solid 12 – 4 straight up; which makes the season record 117 – 59. Picking against the spread was a dismal 5 – 11; taking the season record there down to a miserable 75 – 97 – 4. To reiterate I do not bet football and this year explains why.
The standard disclaimer goes like this; these picks are for amusement value only. They are not to be confused with the recommended picks of the site. I participate in a pick ‘em league and these represent my picks for that league though I may modify my picks there as injury news updates come in later in the week. My versus the spread results are against the line at the time I made the pick, usually the Tuesday before the games are played; I try to get these posted no later than Wednesday evening after reviewing practice reports.
Philadelphia at Seattle – Philadelphia is clearly the more talented but also the less disciplined team, their run defense is an exploitable weakness. Seattle generally plays well as home and the running game has been getting better, the defense is capable and the short week to their advantage, Seahawks win 24 – 21.
Tennessee at Buffalo – The Bills never had much depth and are succumbing to injuries as the season has progressed, the defense in particular is thin. Tennessee has played reasonably tight defensively the offense has sputtered though perhaps the running game is getting traction, Titans win 24 – 17.
Kansas City at Chicago – Kansas City will be playing with a new quarterback and a limited playbook, their defense is average. Chicago will be starting Hanie for his second game, the defense should be the controlling factor and special teams a bonus consideration, Bears win 27 – 17.
Atlanta at Houston – The Texans are down to their third quarterback which is never good; the defense, offensive line, and running game are still solid though. Atlanta has s good run defense but will be challenged here the passing game is the difference maker, Falcons 24 – 20.
Oakland at Miami – Miami is better offensively with Moore at quarterback but they do not have a lot of weapons, the defense has played well of late. Oakland has played well on the road this season, the running game continues to carry this team but they have big play potential, Raiders win 21 – 17.
Denver at Minnesota – Minnesota has been playing better offensively though they have key players who are nicked up, the defense has been inconsistent. Denver has been playing outstanding defense of late and should be able to control the tempo here, Broncos win 17 – 14.
Indianapolis at New England – Indianapolis has no offensive strengths at all, special teams are terrible; the defense is small and wears down as the game progresses. New England is not noted for easing up so this should be a blow out, Patriots win 42 – 14.
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh – Cincinnati has been playing good defense and the offense has been steadily improving but playing on the road they will be challenged. Pittsburgh has a solid passing attack the defense is still solid though less formidable than previous years, Steelers win 28 – 20.
Carolina at Tampa Bay – The Panthers have their first road win but their poor running defense is going to be challenged here against a division opponent. Tampa Bay has a solid running game but they cannot afford turnovers and they are not a big play team, Buccaneers win 24 – 20.
NY Jets at Washington – Washington has been almost as inconsistent as their starting quarterback(s), the changing personnel leave little chance of continuity. New York has also been underachieving as a group, the offense lacks any clear identity the defense inconsistent, Jets win 24 – 17.
Baltimore at Cleveland – The Browns have limited offensive potential, getting Hillis back helps some but the receiving corps cannot challenge the defensive secondary. Baltimore has had some let downs but will have had a few days more to prepare, Ravens win 21 – 13.
Dallas at Arizona – The Cardinals have limited offense and a mediocre defense though special teams have managed to pull out a couple of wins. Dallas has been typically inconsistent; the defense is making more big plays but still has costly lapses, Cowboys win 28 – 20.
Green Bay at NY Giants – New York is on a short week and has significant injury concerns; the defense has not been playing well in the past few games. Green Bay continues to roll based on their offense which has been able to score seemingly at will, Packers win 34 – 24.
St. Louis at San Francisco – The Rams have been hurt by injury and a general lack of depth, the defensive ends are talented but the secondary is limited. San Francisco plays well at home and the defense is very good, the offense is average, Forty-niners win 28 – 17.
Detroit at New Orleans – The Lions are falling apart and the schedule is not helping, the team lacks discipline and they are hurting themselves more than the opponents. New Orleans is hard to beat at home; the offense is loaded with weapons, Saints win 35 – 24.
San Diego at Jacksonville – The Jaguars are a running game and little else, the defense is not that bad but has to be on the field too much. San Diego has been very disappointing, the talent level is good but the team has been making mental errors and baffling coaching decisions, Chargers win 24 – 20.