Week three was kind of brutal, the straight up picks fell off to 9 -7 taking the season record down to 33 – 15. Picking against the spread still failed to make the break-even point coming in at 7 – 9 for the week the record falling to 20 – 27 – 1 for the season thus far but we are looking to come back this week; of course we were looking for that last week also.
My disclaimer goes like this. These picks are for amusement value only; not to be confused with the recommended picks of the site. I participate in a pick ‘em league and these represent my view of the weekly games for that league though I occasionally modify my picks there as injury news becomes clearer later in the week. My versus the spread results are against the line at the time I made the pick, usually the Tuesday before the games are played; I try to get these posted no later than Wednesday after seeing the practice reports.
Buffalo at Cincinnati – Cincinnati is showing the growing pains and inconsistency of a rookie quarterback, the defense is inconsistent as well. Buffalo seems to be for real; the offensive line is a huge surprise here and the defense also has exceeded expectations, a possible let down but Bills win 27 – 21.
Carolina at Chicago – The Panthers offense has been sporadic and could use a bit more balance their defensive injuries and lack of depth are a concern. Chicago needs to remember that it is within the rules to run the ball, the defense needs to get rest to be most effective, Bears win 21 – 17.
Detroit at Dallas – Dallas has some offensive line issues and injuries to their receiving corps; the defensive secondary is an issue as well. Detroit will be getting their first round draft pick to improve what is already the best defensive line in the league, Lions win 24 – 21.
Minnesota at Kansas City – The Chiefs played a better game last week than any other so far this year but they have a lot to overcome. The Vikings need to play a second half even, they have blown big first half leads with sloppy second half play, and something has to give, Vikings win 24 – 21.
New Orleans at Jacksonville – Jacksonville has a rookie quarterback and a rather thin receiving corps which invites defenses to stack the box, one-dimensional teams do not beat good teams. New Orleans offense is potent, the defense is getting better, Saints win 31 – 17.
Pittsburgh at Houston – The Steelers are on a short week and if they have an issue it is matching up with good receivers which will be a problem this week. Houston is still working some things out on defense but the offense is dynamic and can make big plays at any time, Texans win 28 – 21.
San Francisco at Philadelphia – San Francisco has a reasonable defense but the offensive line and the offense in general is not good. The Philadelphia defense is not good up front; Vick’s playing style means he takes too many hits, but he makes the offense work, Eagles win 28 – 17.
Tennessee at Cleveland – The Browns have a limited offense though they play hard, injuries to the offensive line have hurt as they lack overall depth. Tennessee has lost their most effective offensive weapon but their defense is solid and Hasselbeck has been playing well, Titans win 21 – 17.
Washington at St. Louis – St Louis has been struggling, a difficult schedule, mediocre defense, injuries, and a lack of depth have all contributed. Washington has played good defense overall; the offense is not particularly dynamic but has been generally successful, Redskins win 24 – 21.
Atlanta at Seattle – The Seahawks offense almost looked as if it existed last week, getting Rice on the field helped them but this will be a more difficult task. Atlanta is at their best when their offense is balanced, the defense is still vulnerable to the deep ball, not likely this week, Falcons win 24 – 14.
NY Giants at Arizona – The Arizona defense has been bad against bad teams; the offense has some talent but not enough to overcome their defense. New York may be the most beat up team in the league, both the defense and offense have been missing key components, Giants win 28 – 14.
Denver at Green Bay – The Broncos have some talent but poor defensive depth; their running game has been inconsistent and won’t get better this week. Green Bay is playing well offensively though the defense has been challenged, the secondary can be beaten, Packers win 31 – 17.
Miami at San Diego – Miami has to travel across country after a disappointing loss to play a much better opponent; the team is better than their record but will not get to show it here. San Diego has very explosive offense and the defense is solid as well, Chargers win 28 – 17.
New England at Oakland – The Raiders have a powerful running attack behind a surprisingly effective offensive line and the defensive front plays very well. The New England defense has been really bad against the pass, the offense has been generally unstoppable, Patriots win 31 – 24.
NY Jets at Baltimore – New York has been developing a passing game since their running game has stalled out, one deep threat will not be enough. Baltimore can lose focus and has some exploitable flaws in their pass defense but they should be paying attention here, Ravens win 24 – 21.
Indianapolis at Tampa – The Colts played a solid defensive game but the offense is still out of synch, they are improving but still not there. Tampa Bay has been winning ugly; they would like to get their running game going and need more consistency, Buccaneers win 20 – 14.