The past week came in with a mediocre 10 – 6 after a promising start making the season record straight up 111 – 65. Against the spread, though it was a disastrous 4 – 12 taking the season results there to 92 – 77 – 7 on the season.
I participate in a pick’em league and these choices reflect the picks I make there; for that league I can make changes until the first game kicks off and will (rarely) based on last minute injury information. These picks are for amusement value only; please do not confuse these choices with the real picks made on this site by those who are focusing on the best choices available as they see them. The line used is a line in effect when I picked the game (usually the day prior to the article being posted).
Houston at Philadelphia – Houston has had a variety of defensive problems that limit their ability to win games despite an effective offense. The Philadelphia offense can be limited by a defense with speed which does not look to be an issue this week, Eagles win 31 – 21.
New Orleans at Cincinnati – The Bengals are hurting in the defensive secondary and do not have the team speed required to for this week’s matchup. New Orleans is getting healthy at a good time, their defense has come up with key plays at critical times, Saints win 28 – 17.
Chicago at Detroit – Detroit has been playing better but is still inconsistent and lacks discipline; still they are a dangerous opponent at home. Chicago has been playing better offensively, particularly along the line, and the defense is very good, Bears win 28 – 24.
San Francisco at Green Bay – The Forty-niners have been up and down; the defense has been less effective than the talent-level would suggest. Green Bay has a good attacking defense and a very effective passing defense that should be enough this week, Packers win 31 – 17.
Denver at Kansas City – Denver is one-dimensional offensively the passing game has been feast or famine, the defense is soft against the run. Kansas City plays off their running game and need to play from ahead, the defense is solid, Chiefs win 24 – 21.
Cleveland at Miami – The Browns are getting good play from their offensive line and power running game, the defense has been inconsistent though. The Miami defense has been solid but the offense ineffective at times, Dolphins win 20 – 17.
Buffalo at Minnesota – Buffalo is playing well and should not be taken lightly despite their record but they do have the worst rush defense in the league. The Vikings play well at home and seem to be energized by the coaching change, Vikings win 24 – 20.
Washington at New York Giants – The Redskins are giving up big plays defensively and have been fighting a lot of injury issues. New York has their own list of injury problems particularly in the receiver corps but the defense is good enough this week, Giants win 21 – 17.
Jacksonville at Tennessee – Tennessee needs to get Collins back on the field but they also need to get the running game going, the defense is on the field too much. Jacksonville has been playing well but need to play ball-control, Jaguars win 21 – 20.
Oakland at San Diego – The Raiders have to get their running game going and play with a lead to control the tempo of the game. San Diego is playing well and has been particularly aggressive on defense, the offense can score in a hurry, Chargers win 31 – 17.
St Louis at Arizona – Arizona has talent offensively but Anderson can be very inaccurate and the defense is undisciplined. St Louis and their rookie quarterback has been playing well, the defense has also contributed, Rams win 27 – 21.
Dallas at Indianapolis – The Cowboys are playing better, the defensive secondary has relied more on zone principles to solve some of their deficiencies. Indianapolis may be getting some players back; Manning is unlikely to have another bad game, Colts win 28 – 24.
Carolina at Seattle – Carolina has been beset by injuries and a generally depleted roster, they are playing hard but limited. Seattle generally plays well at home but injuries have made them more vulnerable than typical, Seahawks win 24 – 21.
Atlanta at Tampa Bay – The Buccaneers have a good team but they are not particularly dynamic offensively, playing well enough to win. Atlanta is coming off a big win and playing well on both sides of ball, while there might be a bit of a let down, Falcons win 21 – 17.
Pittsburgh at Baltimore – Baltimore has a productive offense and plays good defense but they are vulnerable to big plays in the passing game and do not produce a lot of big plays. Pittsburgh has a dominating defense and has a deep passing game, Steelers win 24 – 21.
New York Jets at New England – New England plays solidly on both sides of the ball and will be well prepared for this game. New York relies on their defense but they have found enough on offense to pull out some unlikely wins so far this season, Jets win 24 – 21.