Last week was 9 – 5 straight up in a fairly tough week making the season record to 39 – 23. Against the spread it was a discouraging 5 – 9 bringing us back to average on the season so far at 30 – 30 – 2. I hope that as we start into the second quarter of the season we will have a better feel for the results to come.
I participate in a pick’em league and these choices reflect the picks I make there; for that league I can make changes until the first game kicks off and will (rarely) based on last minute injury information. These picks are for amusement value only; please do not confuse these choices with the real picks made on this site by those who are focusing on the best choices available as they see them. The line used is a line in effect when I picked the game (usually the day prior to the line being posted).
Denver at Baltimore – Denver has a real passing attack, which will be an advantage this week, but the defense gives up too much. Baltimore is starting to get their offense going; the defense should be able to make enough stops to control the game, Ravens win 24 – 20.
Jacksonville at Buffalo – News flash, the Bills are not very good, the offensive line is mediocre, and the defense is ineffective. Jacksonville has their own set of problems including defensive issues but the offense should be able to grind out a win, Jaguars win 21 – 17.
Chicago at Carolina – Carolina has a solid running game but is very limited otherwise; the defense has not generated much of a pass rush. Chicago may have Cutler back but the defense and special teams are good enough to win this week, Bears win 21 – 14.
Tampa Bay at Cincinnati – The Buccaneers are coming off their bye week; Freeman is developing at quarterback but has few weapons available. Cincinnati is not a team that can afford defensive lapses, they should have focus this week, Bengals win 28 – 17.
Atlanta at Cleveland – Cleveland coming off a big win, is a better team than their record might indicate with a very good offensive line. Atlanta is a team that is solid in all aspects of the game and capable of grinding opponents down with power running, Falcons win 27 – 20.
St Louis at Detroit – Detroit has been playing quite well but has come up short despite some dynamic play. The Rams are getting good results from their rookie quarterback but the defense has been the big surprise just by not being awful, Rams win 28 – 24.
New York Giants at Houston – The Giants found a defense last week and a pass rush; they will need that this week along with more offense. Houston has plenty of offense but the defense has been particularly vulnerable to the passing game, Texans win 27 – 21.
Kansas City at Indianapolis – The Chiefs come off the bye week as the only undefeated team in the NFL, they cannot keep up this week. The Colts have a number of injuries but they still have Manning and the ability to score from anywhere, Colts win 28 – 17.
Green Bay at Washington – Washington had a big road win and may be a little flat, they lack the offensive weapons to keep up this week. Green Bay has a solid passing offense and can be opportunistic on defense as well when playing with a lead, Packers win 30 – 17.
New Orleans at Arizona – The Cardinals may be making a change at quarterback they also need to do something to stabilize the defense. New Orleans had another narrow escape and seems to be playing down to the level of the opposition, Saints win 31 – 21.
Tennessee at Dallas – Tennessee has a talented running game and a generally stingy defense but no effective passing attack. Dallas has had the bye week to regroup, the pass defense has been a problem but will not be severely tested this week, Cowboys win 24 – 17.
San Diego at Oakland – The Raiders have a reasonably effective running game but their defense has been equally vulnerable to the run and giving up a lot of points. San Diego has plenty of offensive potential; their special teams play has been terrible, Chargers win 24 – 21.
Philadelphia at San Francisco – Philadelphia’s quarterback issues are not the real problem, the offensive line is bad, the defense inconsistent. San Francisco has been played poorly against bad teams, they are about due to play well at home, Forty-niners win 24 – 20.
Minnesota at New York Jets – The Vikings are coming off their bye week and playing at home but that offensive line is not likely to withstand the onslaught. The Jets offense is becoming more effective and they get back a major weapon in the passing game, Jets win 24 – 17.