Last week was a bit tough on us coming up with 9 – 7 straight up making the season record to 30 – 18 straight up. Against the spread a disappointing 7 – 9 but still above average at 25 – 21 – 2. Next week starts the bye weeks, as four teams will be idle.
I participate in a pick’em league and these choices reflect the picks I make there; for that league I can make changes until the first game kicks off and will (rarely) based on last minute injury information. These picks are for amusement value only; please do not confuse these choices with the real picks made on this site by those who are focusing on the best choices available as they see them. The line used is a line in effect when I picked the game (usually the day prior to the line being posted).
San Francisco at Atlanta – Surprisingly, San Francisco has been inconsistent defensively, the offensive line is still coming together but slowly. Atlanta might have a bit of a let down but their run defense is good enough to control Gore, Falcons win 24 – 14.
New York Jets at Buffalo – The Bills look better with the change at quarterback but the key will be keeping Spillers involved. The Jets defense is the strength of this team, and should dominate; the offense is developing some consistency, Jets win 21 – 10.
Cincinnati at Cleveland – Cleveland has issues in the passing game; while their quarterback play has been unexceptional, they lack receiver talent. Cincinnati is a solid team on both sides of the ball, they can play better than they have shown to date, Bengals win 24 – 14.
Detroit at Green Bay – The Lions have played each division opponent away after this game; the defensive secondary is poor. The Green Bay passing game is not going to get much in the way resistance their defense should control as well, Packers win 35 - 17
Carolina at New Orleans – Carolina has been very inconsistent, starting a rookie quarterback is contributing but the defense has been disappointing as well. New Orleans has been playing close games; the defense is not playing particularly well, Saints win 28 – 14.
Baltimore at Pittsburgh – The Steelers have done well with various quarterbacks filling in because of outstanding defensive play but this is a difficult opponent. Baltimore appears to have gotten their offense on track last week but have a tough test here, Ravens win 17 – 14.
Seattle at St Louis – Seattle still does not appear to be much of a road team the offensive line is mediocre and the defense is inconsistent. St Louis is starting to come together offensively, and the defense is showing some life as well, Rams win 21 – 20.
Denver at Tennessee – The Broncos have had difficulty establishing their running game and the defense has been mediocre. Tennessee is one-dimensional offensively but their solid defense allows them to use that to control the tempo of games, Titans win 24 – 17.
Indianapolis at Jacksonville – Jacksonville has a number of issues offensively but the pass defense has been terrible and will be exploited further this week. Indianapolis seems to have an answer for whatever defense they come up against, Colts win 28 – 14.
Houston at Oakland – The Raiders have improved but still lack consistencies in the play of the lines, injuries have not helped. The Houston defense is vulnerable over the top; the offense is capable of putting up more points than the defense can give up, Texans win 31 – 20.
Washington at Philadelphia – Washington has a solid but limited team, their problem this week is a lack of team speed on defense. The Vick experiment is required because the offensive line is not very good particularly pass blocking, Eagles win 28 – 24.
Arizona at San Diego – The Cardinals have had injured receivers but the limitation on the passing game is still the quarterback. San Diego can score with their passing game and are going to need to score a lot most weeks, Chargers win 28 – 21.
Chicago at New York Giants –The Bears offense is spotty though productive but the defense has been keeping them in games. The New York pass defense is weak but generally sloppy play and mental mistakes have cost games, this week they are focused, Giants win 24 – 21.
New England at Miami – The Patriots have a potent passing offense and the beginning of a running game but their defense is terrible. Miami has a very good defense and an offense that is just good enough this week, Dolphins win 24 – 21.