The bye weeks are behind us as we move into week eleven, this past week was a good 12 – 3 – 1; the against the spread results were above average at 9 – 7. For the season, the results are 106 – 53 – 1 straight up and 85 – 71 – 4 versus the spread.
Please note that these picks are not to be confused with the real business of Football Forecasters and are not the recommended picks. Personally I do not bet football and anyone who has followed this little feature for any length of time will understand why. I participate in a pick’em league and these choices reflect those picks though my league choices are subject to last minute changes based on the latest injury and practice reports. Generally, these picks will appear on Wednesday evenings and for their limited amusement value.
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh – The Bengals have not lost in four weeks turning in a rare tie last week, they are actually playing somewhat better, but they still are not good. Pittsburgh has a brutal schedule; this game could be a let down, Steelers win 24 – 17.
Philadelphia at Baltimore – The Eagles can play down to their opposition as proved last week; inconsistent does not begin to describe this team. Baltimore has surprised with their offensive production, defense is still their specialty, Ravens win 27 – 24.
Houston at Cleveland – Houston has some talent but does not seem to get them all playing together with focus at the same time. Cleveland has many offensive weapons but they have not been able to effectively use them with consistency, Browns win 24 – 20.
San Francisco at Dallas – San Francisco has played with greater intensity the past couple of weeks and fewer offensive mistakes. For Dallas the return of Romo did lead to a victory last week and the defense even played better, Cowboys win 28 – 21.
Tampa Bay at Detroit – Detroit has been disappointing even by Detroit standards, which is saying something about futility, there are glimmers of real talent but nothing can be done with it. Tampa Bay is well balanced on both sides of the ball, Buccaneers win 28 – 14.
Minnesota at Jacksonville – Jacksonville has had a difficult time with injuries and a disappointingly average defense. Minnesota gets to play in Florida two weeks in a row, their defense against the run is the big factor here, Vikings win 24 – 20.
Buffalo at Kansas City – The Bills have had injuries to their defensive secondary that have cost them at least a couple of wins. Kansas City is obviously rebuilding but coming together and playing hard, particularly at home, Chiefs win 20 – 17.
New England at Miami – Miami surprised the Patriots at home early in the season with the wildcat and a better defense that anyone realized. New England is not the team they have been in the past but this is still a talented group that will be better prepared, Patriots win 24 – 21.
Chicago at St Louis – St Louis has a variety of problems including a defense giving up the most points per game in the NFL. The Chicago defense has been inept; offensively they have been using their two tight ends like wide receivers to create favorable match ups, Bears win 24 – 17.
New York Jets at Tennessee – The Jets are a difficult team to predict, they can be explosive offensively or fizzle, particularly under pressure. Tennessee is just a fundamentally sound team on both sides of the ball, and they play well at home, Titans win 27 – 20.
Oakland at Denver – The Raiders are an inconsistent team that lacks any real offensive weapons; the defense gets exposed as a result. Denver has a poor defense but enough offense to overcome that limitation at least some of the time, Broncos win 28 – 20.
New York Giants at Arizona – Arizona is dominating their division, with a prolific passing attack and a rather average defense. The Giants are also dominating a much better division with a very good offense and better defense, Giants win 28 – 24.
Washington at Seattle – Seattle used to have a more distinct home field advantage that was when they were playing better defense. Washington has been playing fairly well on both sides of the ball particularly defensively, Redskins win 28 – 21.
Carolina at Atlanta – Atlanta lost at home for the first time this season last week, they are still playing generally sound football but have exposable weaknesses. Delhomme has had a couple of bad games and cannot afford another one here, Panthers win 21 – 20.
Indianapolis at San Diego – San Diego has had problems with consistency, seldom putting together good defensive and offensive efforts in the same game. Indianapolis has been playing better; the question is the health of Sanders for this game, Colts win 24 – 21.
Green Bay at New Orleans – The Saint defense is almost as bad as their offense is good and this is the top passing game in the NFL. Green Bay is playing well over the past few weeks despite a couple of losses in that time, Packers win 21 – 20.